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Peoria Housing Market Shifts to Buyer Territory: CMI 71.7, Down 19% in a Month

Peoria home buyers now hold more leverage than at any point in recent years, and the shift happened fast

Aerial drone view of a suburban Peoria, Arizona neighborhood showing single-family homes, wide streets, palm trees, commercial strips, and distant desert mountains under a blue sky.
An aerial view of Peoria, Arizona, where the Cromford Market Index has fallen to 71.7 — firmly in buyer's market territory as of October 2026. (InsideTheValley.com)

The short version

  • Valley average CMI dropped 15.1% in one month — weakest reading since November 2023.
  • Peoria CMI is 71.7, firmly in buyer's market territory (below 90 threshold).
  • Only 3 of 18 Valley cities remain seller's markets — fewest since July 2025.
  • All 18 cities have moved buyer-favorable for 3 consecutive weeks.
  • Scottsdale leads at CMI 138.8; Maricopa is weakest at 41.2.

Yes, Peoria is now a buyer’s market. The Cromford Market Index for Peoria stands at 71.7 as of the week of October 22, 2026 — down 19% from last month and well below the 90 threshold that separates buyer’s territory from a balanced market. That gap gives buyers in Peoria real negotiating room right now.

If you are buying or selling in Peoria, your position just changed

The Cromford Market Index measures the balance of supply and demand between buyers and sellers. Cromford’s own thresholds are simple: above 110 favors sellers, 90 to 110 is balanced, and below 90 favors buyers. At 71.7, Peoria is not borderline — it is nearly 20 points into buyer’s territory.

If you are buying in Peoria, that number means sellers are competing harder for your offer. Listings sit longer. Price cuts happen more often. You have room to negotiate on price, repairs, and closing costs in ways that simply were not available six weeks ago.

If you are selling, the math has flipped. Overpricing now means sitting on the market while buyers shop elsewhere in a city where inventory is growing. Accurate pricing and presentation matter more than they have in years.

This is not a blip. The trend has deteriorated every week since mid-August, and every single city in the Valley is moving in the same direction at the same time.

What the Cromford Market Index is — and why Peoria’s 71.7 matters

The Cromford Market Index is published weekly by Cromford Associates LLC. It tracks the balance between supply and demand across the Phoenix Valley’s largest cities. A score above 110 means sellers have the upper hand. Between 90 and 110 is balanced. Below 90 means buyers hold the advantage.

Peoria’s index was not always here. A drop of 19% in a single month is large. For context, the three biggest monthly drops in the entire Valley right now are Fountain Hills at -32%, Paradise Valley at -28%, and Peoria at -19%. Peoria’s decline is the third-steepest in the region.

Peoria’s CMI of 71.7 places it at the top of the buyer’s market group — not the weakest in the Valley, but firmly outside balanced territory.

All 18 Valley cities ranked: the full CMI table right now

Here is where every large Valley city stands as of the week of October 22, 2026, ranked from strongest to weakest:

City CMI Market State
Scottsdale 138.8 Seller’s market
Paradise Valley 123.4 Seller’s market
Chandler 114.3 Seller’s market
Fountain Hills 107.2 Balanced market
Cave Creek 103.8 Balanced market
Phoenix 97.1 Balanced market
Avondale 96.4 Balanced market
Gilbert 94.9 Balanced market
Mesa 90.6 Balanced market
Glendale 90.4 Balanced market
Peoria 71.7 Buyer’s market
Goodyear 64.8 Buyer’s market
Tempe 63.8 Buyer’s market
Surprise 58.4 Buyer’s market
San Tan Valley 49.9 Buyer’s market
Buckeye 46.6 Buyer’s market
Queen Creek 44.4 Buyer’s market
Maricopa 41.2 Buyer’s market

Scottsdale at 138.8 is the strongest market in the Valley. Maricopa at 41.2 is the weakest. Peoria at 71.7 sits eleventh on the list — the first city below the balanced floor.

Eight of the 18 cities are now in buyer’s territory. Seven are balanced. Only three remain seller’s markets: Scottsdale, Paradise Valley, and Chandler. That is the fewest seller’s markets since July 2025. Just this week, Fountain Hills dropped from a seller’s market to balanced, and Cave Creek did the same.

The biggest movers this month: Fountain Hills -32%, Paradise Valley -28%, Peoria -19%

Three cities posted the sharpest month-over-month drops in the Valley. Fountain Hills fell 32% to a CMI of 107.2 and slipped out of seller’s territory entirely. Paradise Valley fell 28% to 123.4 — still a seller’s market, but moving fast. Peoria dropped 19% to reach its current 71.7.

Each of those declines landed the city in a different market state. That spread — from seller’s to balanced to buyer’s — shows how differently individual cities absorb the same regional pressure.

The Valley-wide trend: weakest average CMI since November 2023

Peoria’s drop is sharp, but it is happening inside a broader slide. The average CMI across all 18 cities is now down 15.1% from last month. That follows last week’s 14.5% decline. It is the weakest average reading since November 2023.

The trend has worsened every week since mid-August. For three weeks running, all 18 cities have moved in a buyer-favorable direction. Every city’s index is also lower than it was a week ago. That kind of unanimity is rare and signals a genuine regional shift, not a one-city anomaly.

For more on how the Phoenix market fits into this picture, see Phoenix CMI and all 18 Valley cities ranked.

Where Peoria goes from here

The Cromford Report does not forecast future values, and neither do we. What the data shows is direction and velocity — and both point toward continued buyer advantage in Peoria as long as all 18 cities remain in a synchronized decline. Whether that trend holds, flattens, or reverses depends on supply and demand conditions that change weekly.

The next Cromford weekly update will show whether Peoria’s index continues to fall, stabilizes, or ticks back up. If you are tracking this market — as a buyer, a seller, or a homeowner watching your equity — that weekly number is the most current signal available.

Peoria is also seeing new development activity that could affect future supply. The Saddleback Basecamp groundbreaking and the Halo Vista project in the TSMC corridor are both underway, adding context for buyers looking at long-term neighborhood trajectory.

Common questions

Is Peoria AZ a buyer's market right now?

Yes. Peoria's Cromford Market Index is 71.7 as of the week of October 22, 2026. Cromford's threshold for a buyer's market is any score below 90. At 71.7, Peoria is firmly in buyer's territory, not borderline.

What is Peoria's Cromford Market Index score?

Peoria's CMI is 71.7 as of the week of October 22, 2026, down 19% from one month earlier.

What does a CMI of 71 mean for buyers in Peoria?

A CMI of 71.7 means buyers have meaningful negotiating leverage. Sellers are competing harder for offers. Buyers have more room to negotiate on price, repairs, and closing costs than they did even a month ago.

How much did the Peoria housing market drop this month?

Peoria's CMI dropped 19% compared to last month, the third-largest monthly decline among all 18 large Valley cities tracked by the Cromford Report.

Which Phoenix Valley cities are still seller's markets?

As of the week of October 22, 2026, only three cities remain in seller's market territory: Scottsdale (CMI 138.8), Paradise Valley (CMI 123.4), and Chandler (CMI 114.3). That is the fewest seller's markets since July 2025.

What Valley city has the strongest housing market right now?

Scottsdale has the highest CMI in the Valley at 138.8 as of the week of October 22, 2026, making it the strongest seller's market among all 18 tracked cities.

What Valley city has the weakest housing market right now?

Maricopa has the lowest CMI in the Valley at 41.2 as of the week of October 22, 2026 — the deepest buyer's market among all 18 tracked cities.

When was the Valley housing market last this weak?

The average CMI across all 18 Valley cities is at its weakest reading since November 2023, according to the Cromford Report for the week of October 22, 2026.

Is the entire Phoenix Valley moving toward a buyer's market?

Yes. For three consecutive weeks, all 18 large Valley cities have moved in a buyer-favorable direction simultaneously. Every city's index is also lower than the prior week. The trend has worsened every week since mid-August 2026.

How many Phoenix Valley cities are in a buyer's market?

Eight of the 18 large Valley cities tracked by the Cromford Report are in buyer's market territory as of the week of October 22, 2026. Seven are balanced, and three remain seller's markets.

Aaron Dotterer
Aaron Dotterer
REALTOR® · Dott Real Estate Group, Real Broker

Firefighter-EMT and licensed REALTOR® living in Eastmark. I cover what actually changes for residents when the Valley builds.

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